Technical Analysis Vs Fundamental Analysis: What’s The Best Way to Analyze Stocks?
Your broker sorted some stocks for you. However, before investing, you may consider why these stocks are better than others. The debate of technical analysis vs fundamental analysis is nothing new. But I feel that both are equally important.
If you were thinking something like this and landed here, it’s excellent news.
I will discuss and debate the two common ways brokers sort or pick stocks.
Each method deploys a different perspective to analyze stocks. Fundamental analysis discovers stocks with immense growth potential. Therefore, the fundamental analysis of stocks will return reasonable prices.
Technical analysis helps you to decide if it’s the right time to buy or sell a stock. It also calculates the statistical patterns visible on the stock charts.
The Main Tools of Technical Analysis
You must know some specialized tools and methods to do technical analysis. I have discussed these tools in detail.
Technical Analysis Indicators
The leading indicators in technical analysis are the price and volume of the stock. Therefore, you must do the mean reversion of these two parameters. As a result, it shows if a stock is investable.
You can access all these values from the stock charts. You can also pick any reliable chart with complete info.
Volume Analysis
The number of company shares traded over time tells you the strength of its volume. But, to do a volume analysis, keep a few things in mind. Here, you study the number of shares traded over a specific time. If the number is more, the stock is reliable.
Relative Strength
All stocks have some projected trading value. If the stock is not trading at that value, you say it’s undervalued. However, if your stock trades at a higher value, it is called over-valued.
Chart Pattern Analysis
I have already mentioned that the primary goal of technical analysis is to check the chart pattern. This clears up the debate about fundamental analysis vs technical analysis. You don’t go straight up for chart pattern analysis in fundamental analysis.
The stock price movements in a specific market show how the stock is performing. Therefore, you can guess how the stock will perform in the future.
Candlestick Pattern Analysis
You need to know the candlestick pattern for analyzing a stock properly. Here, you also analyze the patterns of price movement.
In this analysis, there are three things to consider. These are:
- The entire body of the stock starts from the opening to the closing range.
- The shadow of the candle, which shows the daily highs and lows of the stock.
- A movement within the range in green color implies price growth of the stock.
- A movement within the range in red color shows that the stock price is reducing.
Support And Resistance
These are two critical parameters for analyzing the stock value from the chart trends. In a chart, there are some horizontal lines. These lines indicate the regions beyond which the stock price does not certainly move.
So, we see that technical analysis is based on trend data. If you compare the benefits of technical analysis vs fundamental analysis, here’s a brownie point for technical analysis.
Trend Analysis
Many of us are caught between technical vs fundamental analysis. However, they should know that technical analysis is only for short-term trend analysis.
Trend analysis is elementary and effective. You must review the stock chart to interpret the past and present movements. After that, you can predict future trends and prices.
You can select any of the parameters I discussed above to trace movement. However, experts suggest that you mostly use historical prices and volume.
The Pros and Cons of Fundamental and Technical Analyses
Technical trading vs fundamental trading is a never-ending debate. But both have some benefits and limitations. You should get to know both better.
Pros Of Technical Analysis Vs Fundamental Analysis
In the following table, you will find an elaborate analysis of the pros of fundamental and technical analysis.
| Benefits of Fundamental Analysis | Benefits of Technical Analysis |
|---|---|
| Fundamental analysis helps in in-depth analysis of the stock by assessing the organizational health of the stock issuing company. | You can make timely decisions with technical analysis. For example, you can make real time decisions to buy or sell a stock with technical analysis. You do not need to invest a range of data from different sources like fundamental analysis |
| It is better for sustainable investments as it analyzes the intrinsic strengths of the company | The simplicity of technical analysis is an added advantage. So, you only must interpret easy graphical representations during technical analysis. |
| One of the main benefits of fundamental analysis is risk mitigation. When you have analyzed the intrinsic values of the company, you know if the stock will give returns in future or not. You do not have the risk of a downfall even if it is performing good. You know a dip will be followed by a certain rise in value. | Technical analysis is better for risk management. So, you can use the tools like stop loss orders anytime. These technical analysis tools are easy to use. You can repetitively use these tools to check real time risks of trading in a stock. |
| The qualitative factors make fundamental analysis beneficial. Here you consider the brand value in the market, brand reputation among customers and the leadership efficiency of the firm. | Technical analysis wins here in debate of fundamental analysis vs technical. Fundamental analysis cannot provide psychological insights. At best, it can show the brand awareness level or reputation of a brand among customers. However, technical analysis involves analysis of the stock charts. The charts show the real time sentiment of traders about a stock. |
| Fundamental analysis is highly adaptable. You can do fundamental analysis of stocks, assets, bonds and currencies | Technical analysis is equally adaptable. You can also do technical analysis of stocks, assets, bonds and currencies |
The table shows that technical and fundamental analysis pros are widely different. So, it means that there should not be a debate about technical analysis vs fundamental analysis. The objective of these two modes of analysis should be different if their benefits are different.
Cons Of Technical Analysis Vs Fundamental Analysis
I have already discussed that both these methods have some disadvantages too. It’s time to see if the cons of technical are greater than fundamental analysis or vice versa.
| Cons of Fundamental Analysis | Cons of Technical Analysis |
|---|---|
| It is time taking. You might take one to two weeks to study a stock with the fundamental analysis method. | Some tools may heavily influence traders to make a move. Often you do not consider the other tools. |
| It is not a good tool for short term gains. | It can raise false signals. As a result, if you invest high value against a false signal, it results in heavy losses |
| Fundamental analysis is often subjective. The outcome may vary from one trader to another. | Technical analysis can be subjective too. However, it is more trend based. As all traders are analyzing the same trends, it’s less subjective than fundamental analysis. |
How Can Fundamental and Technical Analyses Be More Robust?
Traders are always trying to do more precise fundamental or technical analysis. Let’s learn how we can increase the robustness of these methods.
Ensuring Accurate and Updated Data
The primary step to better fundamental and technical analysis is to get your facts right. Firstly, ensure the company website has the updated data for the financial years 2022, 2023, and 2024. If not, avoid fundamental analysis based on historical data.
While doing technical analysis, check when the stock chart was last updated. If it shows: “updated few days ago”, avoid it.
Using Machine-learning Algorithms
Machine learning is an essential tool for chart data analysis. You can use Q-Learning to get suggestions on trading strategies and advice on buying or selling in real time.
Rigorous Backtesting
It’s a method of using technical analysis tools on historical data. If your methods can detect the actual trends of historical chart data, then it might detect future trends accurately, too.
Assessing The Sensitivity of Models to Changes in Assumptions
Both fundamental and technical analysis depend on the trader’s assumptions. So, try out different assumptions to see the difference in the prediction results for different assumptions.
Which Is More Important, Fundamental or Technical Analysis?
The debate of technical analysis vs fundamental analysis should not end with selecting one over the other. It is more important to understand when both should be used.
The Importance of Each Approach in Investment Decision-Making
The context of the application of each method is entirely different. No method is better for decision-making. So don’t read this blog with a divide of technical analysis vs fundamental analysis in mind. I would recommend you invest in a stock for a more extended period for the best results. But you must keep checking the trends with technical analysis occasionally, too.
Tailoring Analyses to Individual Goals and Risk Tolerance
You may want to make quick money. Also, you decide to sell or buy stocks in quick succession. Then technical analysis is best for you. But you should have a high-risk tolerance. Any significant investment against a false alarm can result in substantial losses.
The Bottom Line
In a nutshell, you need both technical and fundamental analysis at multiple time points. There is no need to debate technical analysis vs fundamental analysis. Both are critical in their way.
The basic divide is fundamental analysis and is suitable for long-term investment. On the other hand, technical investment is for short-term investment. It gives you quick opportunities to invest. Fundamental analysis helps you decide on ambitious stocks that will also give future returns. However, technical analysis will inform you when to buy or sell stock.
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It simply implies that the company is growing faster, and the investors can expect to get better returns from their investments. If you wish for better returns from your investments in stocks, you should watch out for the cash burn situation of the company. In the next few years, the company is expected to grow significantly as the growth is due to the new drugs that it will launch in the market for cancer patients. 5. Debt Position Of The Company The company’s Debt Position is Zero and will remain the same over time. The current cash worth of the company is US$24 million, and the last cash burn is $5.9 million. Hence, the company has zero debt and maximum chances of growth over the upcoming years. All these aspects indicate that the company’s growth chances are pretty huge, and you can expect that prices to remain on the higher side. The cash balance is changing over the years, and it is likely to grow in the right direction all the time. 6. Monopar Can Easily Raise Cash Monopar Therapeutics can quickly raise the expected cash run within a short time frame. Therefore, it can help your business move in the right direction if you focus on investing the cash amount. Work out the plans that can positively impact n the business’s cash position. The market capitalization rate is relatively high, and you can get a better return from your investments. Work out the plans with the help of accurate information to increase the chances of better returns from your investments in MNPR stocks. Final Take Away Hence, if you are planning to make your investments in MNPR stocks, you are not making any mistake because the prices will rise in near future. Try to make your choices in the right direction to increase the chances of better returns. MNPR stocks in the upcoming years will show a significant growth rate, and the current position of the stocks of this company is quite high. The possibility is there that you can get better returns from your investments. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) Is Monopar Therapeutics Is The Right Buy Now? The three-wall street of the research analyst believes in buying, selling, and holding the MNPR stocks right now as they have the chance of providing better returns from your investments. How Covid -19 Impacted MNPR Stock Prices? Post COVID-19, the prices of the MNPR stocks are improving and will grow in the upcoming years. Read Also: Is An Investment Banker A Good Career Choice? Why Create A Powerful Business Continuity Plan? Is Southeastern Steel Detailing Inc A Good Company To Invest?
December, 12 2021